Glimmer Of Hope For Essendon?

This might be a good omen...

Glimmer Of Hope For Essendon? Image credit: AAP

By Ronny Lerner

Essendon fans might be thinking to themselves that Friday night’s assignment against Richmond is “Mission: Impossible”.

After all, the Tigers are sitting pretty on top of the ladder, are favourites to win a second premiership in a row and have won a record-breaking 19 games in a row at the MCG.

But there is a glimmer of hope for the Bombers – Richmond have sewn up a top-two spot already.

Why does that help Essendon I hear you ask? Well, since 2008, teams who have sewn up a top-two spot late in the season only have an 8-8 win-loss record.

Whether it be because of mentally switching off, resting players, or just not being good enough on the day, teams who lock in a home qualifying final before the end of the season only have a 50 percent winning rate in the past nine seasons.


Games involving teams who sew up top-two spot (2009-2017)

R18, 2009: St Kilda 13.16.94 def. Sydney 13.15.93

R19, 2009: St Kilda 10.14.74 def. Hawthorn 7.7.49

R20, 2009: St Kilda 16.12.108 lost to Essendon 16.14.110

R21, 2009: St Kilda 8.11.59 lost to North Melbourne 10.4.64

R21, 2009: Geelong 14.12.96 lost to Western Bulldogs 16.14.110

R22, 2009: St Kilda 17.12.114 def. Melbourne 10.7.67

R22, 2009: Geelong 14.10.94 def. Fremantle 8.6.54

R21, 2010: Collingwood 6.18.54 def. Adelaide 7.9.51

R22, 2010: Collingwood 13.17.95 lost to Hawthorn 15.8.98

R22, 2011: Collingwood 14.18.102 def. Brsbane Lions 13.6.84

R23, 2011: Collingwood 20.12.132 def. Fremantle 8.4.52

R24, 2011: Collingwood 8.5.53 lost to Geelong 22.17.149

R23, 2013: Hawthorn 17.10.112 def. Sydney 16.4.100

R23, 2014: Sydney 9.11.65 lost to Richmond 10.8.68

R23, 2015: Fremantle 8.5.53 lost to Port Adelaide 18.14.122

R23, 2017: Adelaide 10.11.71 lost to West Coast 15.10.100