Champion Data have released their post-round 10 update on each club’s likely finish position, and it’s good news for Melbourne fans.
The stats gurus have the Dees as a 96% chance of breaking their 12-year finals drought, which is the second best chance behind West Coast’s 97%.
The Eagles are 27% chance to finish top — the current front runners — and 46% of ending in the top two.
The current top four is considered to be set, with all of West Coast, Melbourne, Richmond and Sydney over a 50% chance of ending up there.
Collingwood fans will be happy as well — the Pies are considered a 77% shot at making the finals.
North Melbourne are the biggest sliders in Champion Data’s calculations, falling from their current fifth place to ninth.
At the other end of the scale, Carlton’s fate is almost sealed; they’re a 52% shot of finishing bottom of the ladder and zero chance of making the finals.
The only other sides realistically in contention for the wooden spoon are Brisbane (23%), St Kilda (13%) and Gold Coast (10%).
Check out Champion Data’s full breakdown here: